**Official Central Weather Administration forecasts set Taipei’s daily maximum at 35°C for August 30, 2026, with daytime ranges of 27–35°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with observed midday readings climbing into the low 30s°C and typical late-August heat buildup before convective activity develops. Traders assign near-certain probability to exactly 35°C because the forecast threshold matches the expected peak under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including moderate southeasterly flow and sufficient insolation before any showers. Historical August climatology for Taipei centers on highs near 32°C, so the current outlook represents an above-average but well-supported warm episode. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money consensus on official observational data rather than model divergence or unexpected cooling. Only persistent heavy cloud cover or earlier, stronger convection could realistically keep the recorded high below 35°C; otherwise, the outcome appears locked in by the end of daylight hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日臺北氣溫最高?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,629 交易量
$38,629 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,629 交易量
$38,629 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official Central Weather Administration forecasts set Taipei’s daily maximum at 35°C for August 30, 2026, with daytime ranges of 27–35°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This aligns with observed midday readings climbing into the low 30s°C and typical late-August heat buildup before convective activity develops. Traders assign near-certain probability to exactly 35°C because the forecast threshold matches the expected peak under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including moderate southeasterly flow and sufficient insolation before any showers. Historical August climatology for Taipei centers on highs near 32°C, so the current outlook represents an above-average but well-supported warm episode. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money consensus on official observational data rather than model divergence or unexpected cooling. Only persistent heavy cloud cover or earlier, stronger convection could realistically keep the recorded high below 35°C; otherwise, the outcome appears locked in by the end of daylight hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions