**Persistent tropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei on August 31, 2026, driving the tight market split between 26°C and 28°C lows.** Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and multiple models show evening temperatures falling from daytime highs near 31–34°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms through the night. Dew points remain elevated around 25–27°C, and light easterly winds (3–9 mph) provide little mixing or advection of cooler air. This setup favors a minimum near 26–28°C rather than the sharper drops typical under clear skies. Recent days featured similar humid, unstable conditions with scattered rain, preventing the surface from cooling efficiently after sunset. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows average lows near 26–27°C, but elevated moisture this week has pushed probabilities toward the warmer side of that range. Updated model runs and official briefings later in the evening remain the key near-term data points that could shift the 26–28°C balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日臺北氣溫最低？
8月31日臺北氣溫最低？
28°C 99.5%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
$1,922 交易量
$1,922 交易量
2026-08-31
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 99.5%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
$1,922 交易量
$1,922 交易量
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$165 交易量
No
23°C
$219 交易量
No
24°C
$182 交易量
No
25°C
$52 交易量
No
26°C
$32 交易量
No
27°C
$154 交易量
No
28°C
$232 交易量
Yes
29°C
$180 交易量
No
30°C
$30 交易量
No
31°C
$45 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$630 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei on August 31, 2026, driving the tight market split between 26°C and 28°C lows.**
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and multiple models show evening temperatures falling from daytime highs near 31–34°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms through the night. Dew points remain elevated around 25–27°C, and light easterly winds (3–9 mph) provide little mixing or advection of cooler air. This setup favors a minimum near 26–28°C rather than the sharper drops typical under clear skies.
Recent days featured similar humid, unstable conditions with scattered rain, preventing the surface from cooling efficiently after sunset. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows average lows near 26–27°C, but elevated moisture this week has pushed probabilities toward the warmer side of that range. Updated model runs and official briefings later in the evening remain the key near-term data points that could shift the 26–28°C balance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,922結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei on August 31, 2026, driving the tight market split between 26°C and 28°C lows.**
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and multiple models show evening temperatures falling from daytime highs near 31–34°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms through the night. Dew points remain elevated around 25–27°C, and light easterly winds (3–9 mph) provide little mixing or advection of cooler air. This setup favors a minimum near 26–28°C rather than the sharper drops typical under clear skies.
Recent days featured similar humid, unstable conditions with scattered rain, preventing the surface from cooling efficiently after sunset. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows average lows near 26–27°C, but elevated moisture this week has pushed probabilities toward the warmer side of that range. Updated model runs and official briefings later in the evening remain the key near-term data points that could shift the 26–28°C balance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,922結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Persistent tropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei on August 31, 2026, driving the tight market split between 26°C and 28°C lows.** Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and multiple models show evening temperatures falling from daytime highs near 31–34°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms through the night. Dew points remain elevated around 25–27°C, and light easterly winds (3–9 mph) provide little mixing or advection of cooler air. This setup favors a minimum near 26–28°C rather than the sharper drops typical under clear skies. Recent days featured similar humid, unstable conditions with scattered rain, preventing the surface from cooling efficiently after sunset. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows average lows near 26–27°C, but elevated moisture this week has pushed probabilities toward the warmer side of that range. Updated model runs and official briefings later in the evening remain the key near-term data points that could shift the 26–28°C balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions