Recent forecast models from the Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate a minimum temperature in Taipei near 24°C on September 18, driven by typical subtropical nocturnal cooling under moderate humidity, easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Light drizzle or patchy rain in some runs may slightly suppress the overnight low by enhancing downward heat flux, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 23°C. The near-even market split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher reflects trader uncertainty over final model consensus and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or moisture, with historical September minima averaging around 23–24°C providing limited additional guidance this close to the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日臺北最低氣溫?
20°C或以下 100%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C或以下
100%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C或以上
34%
20°C或以下 100%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C或以下
100%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C或以上
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate a minimum temperature in Taipei near 24°C on September 18, driven by typical subtropical nocturnal cooling under moderate humidity, easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Light drizzle or patchy rain in some runs may slightly suppress the overnight low by enhancing downward heat flux, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 23°C. The near-even market split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher reflects trader uncertainty over final model consensus and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or moisture, with historical September minima averaging around 23–24°C providing limited additional guidance this close to the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions