Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 21°C in Taipei on September 17, 2026, driven by overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. This aligns with observed trends showing temperatures dropping to around 21–23°C by early morning, cooler than the historical September average low near 24°C. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 21°C reflects strong agreement across official guidance and real-time data, with limited model spread. Resolution depends on verified observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration; a shift could occur only if unseasonal warming or measurement adjustments push the recorded low outside the 21°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日臺北最低氣溫?
21°C 99%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
20°C 38%
17°C或以下
20%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 99%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
20°C 38%
17°C或以下
20%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 21°C in Taipei on September 17, 2026, driven by overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. This aligns with observed trends showing temperatures dropping to around 21–23°C by early morning, cooler than the historical September average low near 24°C. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 21°C reflects strong agreement across official guidance and real-time data, with limited model spread. Resolution depends on verified observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration; a shift could occur only if unseasonal warming or measurement adjustments push the recorded low outside the 21°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions