Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco point to a high in the mid-60s on September 1 amid persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence, consistent with a troughing pattern that has cooled regional 850 mb temperatures. This keeps trader focus on the 66–69°F bins, where small variations in marine layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and local wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by a few degrees across city microclimates. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors below-normal readings unless the trough weakens faster than projected. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月1日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月1日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 33%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
華氏78度或以上
<1%
68-69°F 33%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
華氏59度或以下
$136 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$6 交易量
5%
62-63°F
$26 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$32 交易量
7%
66-67°F
$131 交易量
25%
68-69°F
$153 交易量
33%
70-71°F
$1 交易量
24%
72-73°F
$102 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$464 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$6 交易量
2%
華氏78度或以上
$1 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco point to a high in the mid-60s on September 1 amid persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence, consistent with a troughing pattern that has cooled regional 850 mb temperatures. This keeps trader focus on the 66–69°F bins, where small variations in marine layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and local wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by a few degrees across city microclimates. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors below-normal readings unless the trough weakens faster than projected. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,060結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco point to a high in the mid-60s on September 1 amid persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence, consistent with a troughing pattern that has cooled regional 850 mb temperatures. This keeps trader focus on the 66–69°F bins, where small variations in marine layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and local wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by a few degrees across city microclimates. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors below-normal readings unless the trough weakens faster than projected. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,060結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco point to a high in the mid-60s on September 1 amid persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence, consistent with a troughing pattern that has cooled regional 850 mb temperatures. This keeps trader focus on the 66–69°F bins, where small variations in marine layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and local wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by a few degrees across city microclimates. Historical September 1 averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors below-normal readings unless the trough weakens faster than projected. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions