Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Ankara of 25–26°C on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions, following a cooler-than-average late August pattern with dew points around 11–12°C and winds of 5–6 m/s, suppress the typical seasonal high near 29–30°C. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models shows limited diurnal range, with afternoon peaks sensitive to minor variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders have priced 25°C as the narrow favorite at 48.5% implied probability over 24°C at 39%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly maximum amid converging model outputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月30日安卡拉的最高溫度？
25°C 47%
24°C 40%
26°C 11%
23°C 3%
最新
$12,683 交易量
最新
$12,683 交易量
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
40%
25°C
47%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 40%
26°C 11%
23°C 3%
最新
$12,683 交易量
最新
$12,683 交易量
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$171 交易量
<1%
22°C
$579 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,045 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,939 交易量
40%
25°C
$3,343 交易量
47%
26°C
$1,981 交易量
11%
27°C
$1,056 交易量
2%
28°C
$649 交易量
1%
29°C
$480 交易量
<1%
30°C
$225 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Ankara of 25–26°C on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions, following a cooler-than-average late August pattern with dew points around 11–12°C and winds of 5–6 m/s, suppress the typical seasonal high near 29–30°C. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models shows limited diurnal range, with afternoon peaks sensitive to minor variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders have priced 25°C as the narrow favorite at 48.5% implied probability over 24°C at 39%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly maximum amid converging model outputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,683結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Ankara of 25–26°C on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions, following a cooler-than-average late August pattern with dew points around 11–12°C and winds of 5–6 m/s, suppress the typical seasonal high near 29–30°C. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models shows limited diurnal range, with afternoon peaks sensitive to minor variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders have priced 25°C as the narrow favorite at 48.5% implied probability over 24°C at 39%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly maximum amid converging model outputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,683結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Ankara of 25–26°C on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions, following a cooler-than-average late August pattern with dew points around 11–12°C and winds of 5–6 m/s, suppress the typical seasonal high near 29–30°C. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models shows limited diurnal range, with afternoon peaks sensitive to minor variations in cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders have priced 25°C as the narrow favorite at 48.5% implied probability over 24°C at 39%, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly maximum amid converging model outputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions