**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-term model guidance.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light variable winds have limited surface heating, keeping afternoon readings capped near this threshold amid scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily maxima in the region typically range 28-31°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability indicates traders view deviation as highly improbable given ongoing data. A rapid dissipation of cloud decks or stronger insolation could still push readings higher before sunset, though current trends make this unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$76,503 交易量
$76,503 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$76,503 交易量
$76,503 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-term model guidance.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light variable winds have limited surface heating, keeping afternoon readings capped near this threshold amid scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily maxima in the region typically range 28-31°C under similar synoptic patterns. The 100% market-implied probability indicates traders view deviation as highly improbable given ongoing data. A rapid dissipation of cloud decks or stronger insolation could still push readings higher before sunset, though current trends make this unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions