Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a stationary front are suppressing daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region ahead of August 31, with official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicating maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under overcast skies and 70–100 % chance of precipitation. High dew points near 20–23 °C combined with northeasterly flow and reduced solar insolation limit surface warming relative to recent clearer periods, while ensemble guidance shows limited variability around these values. The market’s tight clustering on 25–26 °C reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C or above given the entrenched moisture and frontal boundary expected to persist through the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 15%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 15%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a stationary front are suppressing daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region ahead of August 31, with official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicating maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C under overcast skies and 70–100 % chance of precipitation. High dew points near 20–23 °C combined with northeasterly flow and reduced solar insolation limit surface warming relative to recent clearer periods, while ensemble guidance shows limited variability around these values. The market’s tight clustering on 25–26 °C reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C or above given the entrenched moisture and frontal boundary expected to persist through the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions