**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Numerical weather prediction models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s through the night, consistent with recent observations of overcast conditions and light winds. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time monitoring and ensemble runs, underpins the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability for 24°C. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling toward 23°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
8月30日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
24°C 92%
23°C 6%
22°C 2%
21°C <1%
$11,212 交易量
$11,212 交易量
2026-08-30
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
92%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 92%
23°C 6%
22°C 2%
21°C <1%
$11,212 交易量
$11,212 交易量
2026-08-30
18°C or below
$462 交易量
<1%
19°C
$489 交易量
<1%
20°C
$761 交易量
<1%
21°C
$451 交易量
1%
22°C
$1,004 交易量
2%
23°C
$702 交易量
6%
24°C
$3,633 交易量
92%
25°C
$982 交易量
<1%
26°C
$431 交易量
<1%
27°C
$173 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,124 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Numerical weather prediction models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s through the night, consistent with recent observations of overcast conditions and light winds. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time monitoring and ensemble runs, underpins the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability for 24°C. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling toward 23°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,212結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Numerical weather prediction models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s through the night, consistent with recent observations of overcast conditions and light winds. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time monitoring and ensemble runs, underpins the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability for 24°C. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling toward 23°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,212結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Numerical weather prediction models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s through the night, consistent with recent observations of overcast conditions and light winds. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time monitoring and ensemble runs, underpins the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability for 24°C. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling toward 23°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions