**Current weather observations and forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources show a minimum temperature of 21°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 1, 2026, consistent with early-September climatology of overnight lows near 20–22°C under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow and scattered rainfall.** Multiple hourly reports and short-range forecasts converge on this value, with dew points near 22°C limiting further cooling and no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling expected overnight. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this tight observational and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced evaporation or a late surge of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability of deviation below 20°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月1日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
21°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,467 交易量
$10,467 交易量
2026-09-01
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,467 交易量
$10,467 交易量
2026-09-01
18°C或以下
$694 交易量
否
19°C
$1,411 交易量
否
20°C
$738 交易量
否
21°C
$888 交易量
是
22°C
$2,934 交易量
否
23°C
$1,039 交易量
否
24°C
$1,094 交易量
否
25°C
$232 交易量
否
26°C
$179 交易量
否
27°C
$1,084 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$174 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather observations and forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources show a minimum temperature of 21°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 1, 2026, consistent with early-September climatology of overnight lows near 20–22°C under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow and scattered rainfall.** Multiple hourly reports and short-range forecasts converge on this value, with dew points near 22°C limiting further cooling and no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling expected overnight. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this tight observational and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced evaporation or a late surge of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability of deviation below 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,467結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather observations and forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources show a minimum temperature of 21°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 1, 2026, consistent with early-September climatology of overnight lows near 20–22°C under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow and scattered rainfall.** Multiple hourly reports and short-range forecasts converge on this value, with dew points near 22°C limiting further cooling and no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling expected overnight. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this tight observational and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced evaporation or a late surge of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability of deviation below 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,467結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current weather observations and forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources show a minimum temperature of 21°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on September 1, 2026, consistent with early-September climatology of overnight lows near 20–22°C under humid, mostly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow and scattered rainfall.** Multiple hourly reports and short-range forecasts converge on this value, with dew points near 22°C limiting further cooling and no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling expected overnight. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this tight observational and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced evaporation or a late surge of cooler air, though current guidance shows low probability of deviation below 20°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions