Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月7日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
31°C 10%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
34%
29°C
41%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C或以上
4%
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
31°C 10%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$50 交易量
8%
28°C
$135 交易量
34%
29°C
$276 交易量
41%
30°C
$0 交易量
10%
31°C
$20 交易量
10%
32°C或以上
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$486結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$486結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models for early September 2026 place Seoul and Incheon highs near 28–29 °C on the 7th, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes. Persistent northeast flow under a migratory high, combined with above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports daytime warming while limiting extreme heat. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with coastal Incheon stations occasionally recording 1 °C cooler readings than inland Seoul. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next KMA model cycles and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture for signals that could shift the balance between 28 °C and 29 °C resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions