Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Wuhan on September 5, supporting daytime heating under light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity after cooler, rain-affected conditions earlier in the week. Official outlooks show highs near 30–32 °C, with differences among leading outcomes (32–34 °C) driven by small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at the reference station. With resolution less than 48 hours away, fresh model runs and any late adjustments to insolation or advection will be the key variables shifting trader-implied probabilities among these tightly bunched results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日武漢氣溫最高？
9月5日武漢氣溫最高？
33°C 31%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
17%
33°C
31%
34°C
27%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 31%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
$25 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$27 交易量
3%
31°C
$20 交易量
11%
32°C
$0 交易量
17%
33°C
$0 交易量
31%
34°C
$12 交易量
27%
35°C
$18 交易量
14%
36°C
$0 交易量
6%
37°C或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Wuhan on September 5, supporting daytime heating under light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity after cooler, rain-affected conditions earlier in the week. Official outlooks show highs near 30–32 °C, with differences among leading outcomes (32–34 °C) driven by small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at the reference station. With resolution less than 48 hours away, fresh model runs and any late adjustments to insolation or advection will be the key variables shifting trader-implied probabilities among these tightly bunched results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$108結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Wuhan on September 5, supporting daytime heating under light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity after cooler, rain-affected conditions earlier in the week. Official outlooks show highs near 30–32 °C, with differences among leading outcomes (32–34 °C) driven by small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at the reference station. With resolution less than 48 hours away, fresh model runs and any late adjustments to insolation or advection will be the key variables shifting trader-implied probabilities among these tightly bunched results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$108結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Wuhan on September 5, supporting daytime heating under light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity after cooler, rain-affected conditions earlier in the week. Official outlooks show highs near 30–32 °C, with differences among leading outcomes (32–34 °C) driven by small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at the reference station. With resolution less than 48 hours away, fresh model runs and any late adjustments to insolation or advection will be the key variables shifting trader-implied probabilities among these tightly bunched results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions