Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain associated with a typhoon inverted trough on September 2–3, with northeast winds of 3–5 levels expected to moderate daytime heating. Official guidance points to sunny or partly cloudy conditions supporting a maximum near 30–31 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze basin where solar insolation peaks under subsiding air. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger ridging, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or above align with the absence of strong warm advection or calm winds that would amplify surface temperatures. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日武漢氣溫最高？
9月4日武漢氣溫最高？
32°C 34%
33°C 27%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
15%
32°C
34%
33°C
27%
34°C
11%
35°C或以上
3%
32°C 34%
33°C 27%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
$117 交易量
<1%
26°C
$278 交易量
<1%
27°C
$145 交易量
<1%
28°C
$187 交易量
2%
29°C
$50 交易量
3%
30°C
$109 交易量
9%
31°C
$84 交易量
15%
32°C
$5 交易量
34%
33°C
$97 交易量
27%
34°C
$60 交易量
11%
35°C或以上
$85 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain associated with a typhoon inverted trough on September 2–3, with northeast winds of 3–5 levels expected to moderate daytime heating. Official guidance points to sunny or partly cloudy conditions supporting a maximum near 30–31 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze basin where solar insolation peaks under subsiding air. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger ridging, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or above align with the absence of strong warm advection or calm winds that would amplify surface temperatures. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,217結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain associated with a typhoon inverted trough on September 2–3, with northeast winds of 3–5 levels expected to moderate daytime heating. Official guidance points to sunny or partly cloudy conditions supporting a maximum near 30–31 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze basin where solar insolation peaks under subsiding air. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger ridging, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or above align with the absence of strong warm advection or calm winds that would amplify surface temperatures. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,217結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain associated with a typhoon inverted trough on September 2–3, with northeast winds of 3–5 levels expected to moderate daytime heating. Official guidance points to sunny or partly cloudy conditions supporting a maximum near 30–31 °C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze basin where solar insolation peaks under subsiding air. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger ridging, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or above align with the absence of strong warm advection or calm winds that would amplify surface temperatures. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions