Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles on September 4, with morning low clouds and fog near the coast clearing to mostly sunny skies and highs generally in the mid-70s to low-80s °F. Onshore southwest flow and the persistent marine influence are expected to cap daytime warming, keeping temperatures close to the 76.7 °F climatological average for the date while limiting the risk of stronger heat. This stable setup with minimal model spread supports the even distribution of trader probabilities across the 70–79 °F bins, as small variations in cloud clearance timing or exact measurement site can shift the daily maximum within that narrow range. Updated NWS briefings through the morning of September 3 will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
9月4日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
74-75°F 36%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 26%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
7%
84°F或更高
7%
74-75°F 36%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 26%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
65°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
7%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
15%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
16%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
36%
76-77°F
$40 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
26%
80-81°F
$11 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
7%
84°F或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles on September 4, with morning low clouds and fog near the coast clearing to mostly sunny skies and highs generally in the mid-70s to low-80s °F. Onshore southwest flow and the persistent marine influence are expected to cap daytime warming, keeping temperatures close to the 76.7 °F climatological average for the date while limiting the risk of stronger heat. This stable setup with minimal model spread supports the even distribution of trader probabilities across the 70–79 °F bins, as small variations in cloud clearance timing or exact measurement site can shift the daily maximum within that narrow range. Updated NWS briefings through the morning of September 3 will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$51結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles on September 4, with morning low clouds and fog near the coast clearing to mostly sunny skies and highs generally in the mid-70s to low-80s °F. Onshore southwest flow and the persistent marine influence are expected to cap daytime warming, keeping temperatures close to the 76.7 °F climatological average for the date while limiting the risk of stronger heat. This stable setup with minimal model spread supports the even distribution of trader probabilities across the 70–79 °F bins, as small variations in cloud clearance timing or exact measurement site can shift the daily maximum within that narrow range. Updated NWS briefings through the morning of September 3 will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles on September 4, with morning low clouds and fog near the coast clearing to mostly sunny skies and highs generally in the mid-70s to low-80s °F. Onshore southwest flow and the persistent marine influence are expected to cap daytime warming, keeping temperatures close to the 76.7 °F climatological average for the date while limiting the risk of stronger heat. This stable setup with minimal model spread supports the even distribution of trader probabilities across the 70–79 °F bins, as small variations in cloud clearance timing or exact measurement site can shift the daily maximum within that narrow range. Updated NWS briefings through the morning of September 3 will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions