Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts place Dallas highs in the mid-to-upper 90s on September 4, with mostly sunny skies, light south winds, and only a slight morning shower chance supporting the market's leading 94-95°F outcome at 33.5%. Lingering moisture from earlier storm chances on September 3 and variable steering patterns introduce spread across the 92-97°F bins, while historical September averages near 93°F and recent hot conditions provide baseline context. New model runs and updated NWS guidance remain key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日達拉斯的最高溫度?
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 34%
92-93°F 20%
90-91華氏度 17%
攝氏85度或以下
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
9%
90-91華氏度
17%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
49%
98-99華氏度
7%
100-101華氏度
7%
102-103華氏度
7%
104°F或更高
7%
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 34%
92-93°F 20%
90-91華氏度 17%
攝氏85度或以下
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
9%
90-91華氏度
17%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
49%
98-99華氏度
7%
100-101華氏度
7%
102-103華氏度
7%
104°F或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts place Dallas highs in the mid-to-upper 90s on September 4, with mostly sunny skies, light south winds, and only a slight morning shower chance supporting the market's leading 94-95°F outcome at 33.5%. Lingering moisture from earlier storm chances on September 3 and variable steering patterns introduce spread across the 92-97°F bins, while historical September averages near 93°F and recent hot conditions provide baseline context. New model runs and updated NWS guidance remain key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions