Trader consensus for Denver's September 4 minimum temperature shows balanced uncertainty, with 55°F or below and 74°F or higher each at 40% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a low in the low-to-mid 60s under mostly clear skies after a 90°F+ daytime high. High pressure and light winds favor radiational cooling, yet above-normal warmth from recent patterns and model guidance keeps extremes less likely than the historical early-September average low near 54°F. Key differentiators include exact dew point levels, any thin cloud cover reducing overnight heat loss, and station-specific readings at Denver International Airport. Final official observations will resolve the market within hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日丹佛的最低溫度?
55°F或以下 79%
華氏74度或更高 77%
56-57°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
55°F或以下
79%
56-57°F
49%
58-59華氏度
27%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67華氏度
27%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
48%
華氏74度或更高
77%
55°F或以下 79%
華氏74度或更高 77%
56-57°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
55°F或以下
79%
56-57°F
49%
58-59華氏度
27%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67華氏度
27%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
48%
華氏74度或更高
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus for Denver's September 4 minimum temperature shows balanced uncertainty, with 55°F or below and 74°F or higher each at 40% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a low in the low-to-mid 60s under mostly clear skies after a 90°F+ daytime high. High pressure and light winds favor radiational cooling, yet above-normal warmth from recent patterns and model guidance keeps extremes less likely than the historical early-September average low near 54°F. Key differentiators include exact dew point levels, any thin cloud cover reducing overnight heat loss, and station-specific readings at Denver International Airport. Final official observations will resolve the market within hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions