Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a peak of 24–25°C in London on September 3 under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High pressure maintains settled conditions with limited daytime heating, while wind speeds near 10–15 mph and possible afternoon breaks in cloud introduce small uncertainty in the exact maximum. This aligns closely with early-September climatology (historical average high ~21–22°C) but reflects the current warm anomaly. Traders weigh model consensus against potential revisions from overnight updates, as resolution hinges on verified observations rather than projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日倫敦的最高溫度?
25°C 36%
24°C 29%
26°C 14%
23°C 13%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
29%
25°C
36%
26°C
14%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 29%
26°C 14%
23°C 13%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
29%
25°C
36%
26°C
14%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a peak of 24–25°C in London on September 3 under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High pressure maintains settled conditions with limited daytime heating, while wind speeds near 10–15 mph and possible afternoon breaks in cloud introduce small uncertainty in the exact maximum. This aligns closely with early-September climatology (historical average high ~21–22°C) but reflects the current warm anomaly. Traders weigh model consensus against potential revisions from overnight updates, as resolution hinges on verified observations rather than projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions