Persistent marine layer influence and an incoming weather system are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco's September 3 high temperature near the seasonal average of 70°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models indicate mostly cloudy skies with drizzle or light rain likely, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 60s under southwest flow. This setup aligns with recent below-normal trends driven by onshore winds and elevated humidity, though slight model spread around peak timing and marine stratus clearance leaves room for modest warming into the low 70s. Historical September highs average near 70°F, providing context for the market's concentration on the 68–71°F range as the most probable outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月3日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月3日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
61°F或以下
$480 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$150 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$217 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$917 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$1,297 交易量
28%
70-71°F
$583 交易量
45%
72-73°F
$634 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$1,026 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$92 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$190 交易量
<1%
80°F或更高
$505 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and an incoming weather system are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco's September 3 high temperature near the seasonal average of 70°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models indicate mostly cloudy skies with drizzle or light rain likely, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 60s under southwest flow. This setup aligns with recent below-normal trends driven by onshore winds and elevated humidity, though slight model spread around peak timing and marine stratus clearance leaves room for modest warming into the low 70s. Historical September highs average near 70°F, providing context for the market's concentration on the 68–71°F range as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,055結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and an incoming weather system are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco's September 3 high temperature near the seasonal average of 70°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models indicate mostly cloudy skies with drizzle or light rain likely, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 60s under southwest flow. This setup aligns with recent below-normal trends driven by onshore winds and elevated humidity, though slight model spread around peak timing and marine stratus clearance leaves room for modest warming into the low 70s. Historical September highs average near 70°F, providing context for the market's concentration on the 68–71°F range as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,055結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETPersistent marine layer influence and an incoming weather system are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco's September 3 high temperature near the seasonal average of 70°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models indicate mostly cloudy skies with drizzle or light rain likely, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 60s under southwest flow. This setup aligns with recent below-normal trends driven by onshore winds and elevated humidity, though slight model spread around peak timing and marine stratus clearance leaves room for modest warming into the low 70s. Historical September highs average near 70°F, providing context for the market's concentration on the 68–71°F range as the most probable outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions