**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4, 2026, centers on 31–33°C outcomes because official forecasts and climatological norms for the peak of the rainy season point to daytime maxima in that narrow band.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover, which limits insolation and caps temperatures even as regional sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C with scattered thunderstorms, keeping the probability of 34°C or higher low at 5%. Recent observations confirm typical September humidity levels above 80% and light-to-moderate trade winds that further moderate extremes, aligning market-implied odds with the narrow historical envelope for this date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月4日的最高溫度？
巴拿馬城9月4日的最高溫度？
32°C 40%
33°C 27%
31°C 25%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
40%
33°C
27%
34°C或以上
5%
32°C 40%
33°C 27%
31°C 25%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$126 交易量
<1%
25°C
$990 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,079 交易量
<1%
27°C
$111 交易量
<1%
28°C
$214 交易量
1%
29°C
$100 交易量
2%
30°C
$387 交易量
6%
31°C
$353 交易量
25%
32°C
$445 交易量
40%
33°C
$4,034 交易量
27%
34°C或以上
$312 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4, 2026, centers on 31–33°C outcomes because official forecasts and climatological norms for the peak of the rainy season point to daytime maxima in that narrow band.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover, which limits insolation and caps temperatures even as regional sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C with scattered thunderstorms, keeping the probability of 34°C or higher low at 5%. Recent observations confirm typical September humidity levels above 80% and light-to-moderate trade winds that further moderate extremes, aligning market-implied odds with the narrow historical envelope for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,151結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4, 2026, centers on 31–33°C outcomes because official forecasts and climatological norms for the peak of the rainy season point to daytime maxima in that narrow band.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover, which limits insolation and caps temperatures even as regional sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C with scattered thunderstorms, keeping the probability of 34°C or higher low at 5%. Recent observations confirm typical September humidity levels above 80% and light-to-moderate trade winds that further moderate extremes, aligning market-implied odds with the narrow historical envelope for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,151結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 4, 2026, centers on 31–33°C outcomes because official forecasts and climatological norms for the peak of the rainy season point to daytime maxima in that narrow band.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover, which limits insolation and caps temperatures even as regional sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs near 30–31°C with scattered thunderstorms, keeping the probability of 34°C or higher low at 5%. Recent observations confirm typical September humidity levels above 80% and light-to-moderate trade winds that further moderate extremes, aligning market-implied odds with the narrow historical envelope for this date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions