Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月3日芝加哥的最高溫度？
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 18%
84-85°F 14%
90-91華氏度 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
華氏79度或以下
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
19%
90-91華氏度
14%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
4%
98°F或更高
4%
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 18%
84-85°F 14%
90-91華氏度 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
華氏79度或以下
$10 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$8 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
14%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
18%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
19%
90-91華氏度
$0 交易量
14%
92-93°F
$20 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
4%
98°F或更高
$10 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions