Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast model consensus for Dallas indicate a stable warm air mass with southerly flow and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiational cooling, positioning the daily minimum near 80-81°F. This aligns with early September climatology where average lows hover around 74°F but current conditions, including heat indices above 100°F during the day, have limited the typical drop after sunset. With no significant cold front or clear-sky advection expected through September 3, trader sentiment heavily favors this narrow band over cooler outcomes, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing introduces limited probability for 76-79°F readings. Official Dallas/Fort Worth data releases will confirm resolution criteria based on the 24-hour minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日達拉斯的最低溫度?
80-81°F 99%
78-79°F 4%
74-75°F 3%
76-77°F 3%
$1,387 交易量
$1,387 交易量
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85華氏度
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
80-81°F 99%
78-79°F 4%
74-75°F 3%
76-77°F 3%
$1,387 交易量
$1,387 交易量
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85華氏度
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast model consensus for Dallas indicate a stable warm air mass with southerly flow and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiational cooling, positioning the daily minimum near 80-81°F. This aligns with early September climatology where average lows hover around 74°F but current conditions, including heat indices above 100°F during the day, have limited the typical drop after sunset. With no significant cold front or clear-sky advection expected through September 3, trader sentiment heavily favors this narrow band over cooler outcomes, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing introduces limited probability for 76-79°F readings. Official Dallas/Fort Worth data releases will confirm resolution criteria based on the 24-hour minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions