Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum reflects monsoon-season dynamics, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the IMD and NHC-equivalent regional models shows daytime peaks typically 30–32°C under these conditions, consistent with September climatology for the region. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of rainfall—earlier or more persistent convection caps temperatures nearer 31°C, while brief or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a potential 32°C spike. Updated model runs and IMD briefings through September 5 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月5日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
31°C 44%
32°C 41%
30°C 8%
33°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
44%
32°C
41%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
1%
31°C 44%
32°C 41%
30°C 8%
33°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$330 交易量
<1%
25°C
$171 交易量
<1%
26°C
$307 交易量
<1%
27°C
$257 交易量
<1%
28°C
$96 交易量
1%
29°C
$104 交易量
3%
30°C
$533 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,658 交易量
44%
32°C
$364 交易量
41%
33°C
$422 交易量
5%
34°C或以上
$104 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum reflects monsoon-season dynamics, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the IMD and NHC-equivalent regional models shows daytime peaks typically 30–32°C under these conditions, consistent with September climatology for the region. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of rainfall—earlier or more persistent convection caps temperatures nearer 31°C, while brief or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a potential 32°C spike. Updated model runs and IMD briefings through September 5 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,346結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum reflects monsoon-season dynamics, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the IMD and NHC-equivalent regional models shows daytime peaks typically 30–32°C under these conditions, consistent with September climatology for the region. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of rainfall—earlier or more persistent convection caps temperatures nearer 31°C, while brief or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a potential 32°C spike. Updated model runs and IMD briefings through September 5 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,346結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum reflects monsoon-season dynamics, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the IMD and NHC-equivalent regional models shows daytime peaks typically 30–32°C under these conditions, consistent with September climatology for the region. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of rainfall—earlier or more persistent convection caps temperatures nearer 31°C, while brief or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a potential 32°C spike. Updated model runs and IMD briefings through September 5 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions