Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 25–30°C on September 4, with generally cloudy skies, a few showers, and moderate northwesterly winds, keeping daytime maxima below the September climatological average near 31°C. Recent tropical cyclone activity in the northern South China Sea has enhanced cloud cover and moisture, limiting solar heating and supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar post-cyclone setups favor this range over higher outcomes, though any reduction in showers or wind could allow brief warming toward 31°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日香港最高溫度？
9月4日香港最高溫度？
30°C 39%
29°C 32%
31°C 21%
28°C 8%
最新
$33,589 交易量
最新
$33,589 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
1%
30°C 39%
29°C 32%
31°C 21%
28°C 8%
最新
$33,589 交易量
最新
$33,589 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$14,983 交易量
<1%
24°C
$214 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,388 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,493 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,793 交易量
3%
28°C
$3,827 交易量
8%
29°C
$2,928 交易量
32%
30°C
$1,738 交易量
39%
31°C
$1,758 交易量
21%
32°C
$1,897 交易量
3%
33°C或以上
$572 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 25–30°C on September 4, with generally cloudy skies, a few showers, and moderate northwesterly winds, keeping daytime maxima below the September climatological average near 31°C. Recent tropical cyclone activity in the northern South China Sea has enhanced cloud cover and moisture, limiting solar heating and supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar post-cyclone setups favor this range over higher outcomes, though any reduction in showers or wind could allow brief warming toward 31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$33,589結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 25–30°C on September 4, with generally cloudy skies, a few showers, and moderate northwesterly winds, keeping daytime maxima below the September climatological average near 31°C. Recent tropical cyclone activity in the northern South China Sea has enhanced cloud cover and moisture, limiting solar heating and supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar post-cyclone setups favor this range over higher outcomes, though any reduction in showers or wind could allow brief warming toward 31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$33,589結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 25–30°C on September 4, with generally cloudy skies, a few showers, and moderate northwesterly winds, keeping daytime maxima below the September climatological average near 31°C. Recent tropical cyclone activity in the northern South China Sea has enhanced cloud cover and moisture, limiting solar heating and supporting the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar post-cyclone setups favor this range over higher outcomes, though any reduction in showers or wind could allow brief warming toward 31°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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