Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on September 5, driven by a building high-pressure system and persistent southwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air after a frontal passage. Clear to mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions support limited daytime warming, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. Trader-implied probabilities align with this consensus, placing the strongest weight on 13°C followed by 14°C, while lower outcomes reflect the low risk of further cooling or model shifts. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
13°C 44%
14°C 26%
12°C 13%
11°C 6%
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
44%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C或以上
2%
13°C 44%
14°C 26%
12°C 13%
11°C 6%
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
44%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on September 5, driven by a building high-pressure system and persistent southwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air after a frontal passage. Clear to mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions support limited daytime warming, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. Trader-implied probabilities align with this consensus, placing the strongest weight on 13°C followed by 14°C, while lower outcomes reflect the low risk of further cooling or model shifts. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the final verification data for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions