**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月4日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
18°C 63%
17°C 30%
19°C 6%
16°C 2%
最新
$17,152 交易量
最新
$17,152 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
30%
18°C
63%
19°C
6%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
18°C 63%
17°C 30%
19°C 6%
16°C 2%
最新
$17,152 交易量
最新
$17,152 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$399 交易量
<1%
13°C
$400 交易量
<1%
14°C
$652 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,463 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,327 交易量
2%
17°C
$1,718 交易量
30%
18°C
$6,737 交易量
63%
19°C
$1,962 交易量
6%
20°C
$1,072 交易量
<1%
21°C
$123 交易量
<1%
22°C或以上
$299 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$17,152結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,152結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions