Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies recently exceeding +1.5°C and forecasts for further strengthening, are elevating temperatures across Southeast Asia during the Southwest Monsoon, driving trader consensus toward a 34°C high in Kuala Lumpur on September 5. Historical September mean daily maxima near 32.7°C, with frequent afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies and lower rainfall, align with this implied probability, while the 28.5% chance for 35°C reflects potential for brief intensification from reduced cloud cover or urban heat effects. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department outlooks note drier conditions and above-normal warmth through the period, though daily model runs retain uncertainty from localized convection or haze influences that could cap or boost the peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
9月5日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
34°C 60%
35°C 29%
33°C 9%
32°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
60%
35°C
29%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
34°C 60%
35°C 29%
33°C 9%
32°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
29°C或以下
$285 交易量
<1%
30°C
$432 交易量
1%
31°C
$195 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,924 交易量
2%
33°C
$1,262 交易量
9%
34°C
$1,298 交易量
60%
35°C
$2,449 交易量
29%
36°C
$495 交易量
1%
37°C
$258 交易量
1%
38°C
$171 交易量
<1%
39°C或以上
$445 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies recently exceeding +1.5°C and forecasts for further strengthening, are elevating temperatures across Southeast Asia during the Southwest Monsoon, driving trader consensus toward a 34°C high in Kuala Lumpur on September 5. Historical September mean daily maxima near 32.7°C, with frequent afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies and lower rainfall, align with this implied probability, while the 28.5% chance for 35°C reflects potential for brief intensification from reduced cloud cover or urban heat effects. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department outlooks note drier conditions and above-normal warmth through the period, though daily model runs retain uncertainty from localized convection or haze influences that could cap or boost the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$9,205結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies recently exceeding +1.5°C and forecasts for further strengthening, are elevating temperatures across Southeast Asia during the Southwest Monsoon, driving trader consensus toward a 34°C high in Kuala Lumpur on September 5. Historical September mean daily maxima near 32.7°C, with frequent afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies and lower rainfall, align with this implied probability, while the 28.5% chance for 35°C reflects potential for brief intensification from reduced cloud cover or urban heat effects. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department outlooks note drier conditions and above-normal warmth through the period, though daily model runs retain uncertainty from localized convection or haze influences that could cap or boost the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,205結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETStrong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies recently exceeding +1.5°C and forecasts for further strengthening, are elevating temperatures across Southeast Asia during the Southwest Monsoon, driving trader consensus toward a 34°C high in Kuala Lumpur on September 5. Historical September mean daily maxima near 32.7°C, with frequent afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies and lower rainfall, align with this implied probability, while the 28.5% chance for 35°C reflects potential for brief intensification from reduced cloud cover or urban heat effects. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department outlooks note drier conditions and above-normal warmth through the period, though daily model runs retain uncertainty from localized convection or haze influences that could cap or boost the peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions