Recent forecasts indicate clear skies and moderate northeast winds will support a peak temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on September 4. The marine influence from the Yellow Sea promotes sea-breeze cooling during afternoon hours, preventing stronger inland-style warming despite abundant sunshine. Stable high-pressure conditions and light 3–4 level winds limit mixing and moisture, keeping values near the upper end of September climatology. Minor differences among numerical models in the exact timing of the daily maximum create tight market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, with traders weighting the most recent consensus runs that hover around these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日青島氣溫最高？
9月4日青島氣溫最高？
32°C 39%
31°C 38%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
39%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 38%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
26°C或以下
$290 交易量
1%
27°C
$104 交易量
1%
28°C
$340 交易量
1%
29°C
$425 交易量
4%
30°C
$349 交易量
16%
31°C
$172 交易量
38%
32°C
$595 交易量
39%
33°C
$83 交易量
8%
34°C
$371 交易量
2%
35°C
$42 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$54 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate clear skies and moderate northeast winds will support a peak temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on September 4. The marine influence from the Yellow Sea promotes sea-breeze cooling during afternoon hours, preventing stronger inland-style warming despite abundant sunshine. Stable high-pressure conditions and light 3–4 level winds limit mixing and moisture, keeping values near the upper end of September climatology. Minor differences among numerical models in the exact timing of the daily maximum create tight market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, with traders weighting the most recent consensus runs that hover around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,825結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate clear skies and moderate northeast winds will support a peak temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on September 4. The marine influence from the Yellow Sea promotes sea-breeze cooling during afternoon hours, preventing stronger inland-style warming despite abundant sunshine. Stable high-pressure conditions and light 3–4 level winds limit mixing and moisture, keeping values near the upper end of September climatology. Minor differences among numerical models in the exact timing of the daily maximum create tight market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, with traders weighting the most recent consensus runs that hover around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,825結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate clear skies and moderate northeast winds will support a peak temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on September 4. The marine influence from the Yellow Sea promotes sea-breeze cooling during afternoon hours, preventing stronger inland-style warming despite abundant sunshine. Stable high-pressure conditions and light 3–4 level winds limit mixing and moisture, keeping values near the upper end of September climatology. Minor differences among numerical models in the exact timing of the daily maximum create tight market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, with traders weighting the most recent consensus runs that hover around these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions