Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show mostly sunny conditions and highs near 30°C for Qingdao on September 3, driven by stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover moderating coastal influences. This supports the tight clustering around 29–31°C outcomes in trader consensus, as small variations in peak timing, local sea breezes, or model resolution can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines average 26–28°C, with current warmth reflecting seasonal persistence rather than anomalous heat. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日青島氣溫最高?
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 24%
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 24%
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show mostly sunny conditions and highs near 30°C for Qingdao on September 3, driven by stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover moderating coastal influences. This supports the tight clustering around 29–31°C outcomes in trader consensus, as small variations in peak timing, local sea breezes, or model resolution can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines average 26–28°C, with current warmth reflecting seasonal persistence rather than anomalous heat. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions