**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29°C for Qingdao on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds at 3-5 m/s, consistent with early-September climatology along the Yellow Sea coast.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, while moderate winds and the marine influence limit excessive warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze timing create the close split between 29°C (47.5%) and 30°C (39.5%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on 31°C reflecting limited upside potential. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact maximum, with any late-day wind shift or thin high cloud the main variables that could tip the peak by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日青島氣溫最高？
9月2日青島氣溫最高？
29°C 49%
30°C 40%
31°C 8%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
49%
30°C
40%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 49%
30°C 40%
31°C 8%
28°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
24°C或以下
$511 交易量
<1%
25°C
$345 交易量
<1%
26°C
$460 交易量
1%
27°C
$260 交易量
1%
28°C
$434 交易量
7%
29°C
$1,661 交易量
49%
30°C
$1,349 交易量
40%
31°C
$555 交易量
8%
32°C
$380 交易量
1%
33°C
$146 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$1,546 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29°C for Qingdao on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds at 3-5 m/s, consistent with early-September climatology along the Yellow Sea coast.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, while moderate winds and the marine influence limit excessive warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze timing create the close split between 29°C (47.5%) and 30°C (39.5%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on 31°C reflecting limited upside potential. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact maximum, with any late-day wind shift or thin high cloud the main variables that could tip the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$7,642結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29°C for Qingdao on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds at 3-5 m/s, consistent with early-September climatology along the Yellow Sea coast.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, while moderate winds and the marine influence limit excessive warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze timing create the close split between 29°C (47.5%) and 30°C (39.5%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on 31°C reflecting limited upside potential. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact maximum, with any late-day wind shift or thin high cloud the main variables that could tip the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,642結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29°C for Qingdao on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds at 3-5 m/s, consistent with early-September climatology along the Yellow Sea coast.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating, while moderate winds and the marine influence limit excessive warming. Ensemble spread and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or sea-breeze timing create the close split between 29°C (47.5%) and 30°C (39.5%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on 31°C reflecting limited upside potential. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact maximum, with any late-day wind shift or thin high cloud the main variables that could tip the peak by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions