**Trader consensus heavily favors 12°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on September 3, 2026, reflecting official observations of a clear post-frontal night with efficient radiative cooling under high pressure.** Following passage of a cold front, dry air and minimal cloud cover allowed surface temperatures to drop steadily after sunset, bottoming near dawn at stations such as Congonhas. Hourly data showed readings falling to approximately 11.8–12°C before rising with daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This aligns with climatological September minima around 12°C and pre-event forecasts from sources like Climatempo and INMET that consistently projected a 12°C low under stable, clear conditions. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require revised station data showing a lower reading due to localized effects like persistent fog or measurement timing differences, though current verified observations strongly support the market-implied result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日聖保羅最低溫度？
9月3日聖保羅最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,846 交易量
$3,846 交易量
2026-09-03
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,846 交易量
$3,846 交易量
2026-09-03
7°C或以下
$39 交易量
否
8°C
$140 交易量
否
9°C
$616 交易量
否
10°C
$306 交易量
否
11°C
$437 交易量
否
12°C
$201 交易量
是
13°C
$380 交易量
否
14°C
$217 交易量
否
15°C
$296 交易量
否
16°C
$1,107 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$107 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 12°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on September 3, 2026, reflecting official observations of a clear post-frontal night with efficient radiative cooling under high pressure.**
Following passage of a cold front, dry air and minimal cloud cover allowed surface temperatures to drop steadily after sunset, bottoming near dawn at stations such as Congonhas. Hourly data showed readings falling to approximately 11.8–12°C before rising with daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This aligns with climatological September minima around 12°C and pre-event forecasts from sources like Climatempo and INMET that consistently projected a 12°C low under stable, clear conditions.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require revised station data showing a lower reading due to localized effects like persistent fog or measurement timing differences, though current verified observations strongly support the market-implied result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,846結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 12°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on September 3, 2026, reflecting official observations of a clear post-frontal night with efficient radiative cooling under high pressure.**
Following passage of a cold front, dry air and minimal cloud cover allowed surface temperatures to drop steadily after sunset, bottoming near dawn at stations such as Congonhas. Hourly data showed readings falling to approximately 11.8–12°C before rising with daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This aligns with climatological September minima around 12°C and pre-event forecasts from sources like Climatempo and INMET that consistently projected a 12°C low under stable, clear conditions.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require revised station data showing a lower reading due to localized effects like persistent fog or measurement timing differences, though current verified observations strongly support the market-implied result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,846結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors 12°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on September 3, 2026, reflecting official observations of a clear post-frontal night with efficient radiative cooling under high pressure.** Following passage of a cold front, dry air and minimal cloud cover allowed surface temperatures to drop steadily after sunset, bottoming near dawn at stations such as Congonhas. Hourly data showed readings falling to approximately 11.8–12°C before rising with daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This aligns with climatological September minima around 12°C and pre-event forecasts from sources like Climatempo and INMET that consistently projected a 12°C low under stable, clear conditions. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require revised station data showing a lower reading due to localized effects like persistent fog or measurement timing differences, though current verified observations strongly support the market-implied result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions