**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C or higher in Panama City reflects verified observations from the Albrook Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport and regional stations confirming the peak exceeded this threshold on September 3.** In Panama’s tropical wet-season climate, persistent high solar insolation, low wind speeds, and typical September humidity levels around 75–90% routinely drive afternoon maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C, consistent with long-term baselines near 30°C but elevated by clear-sky conditions and minimal convective cooling that day. Official monitoring shows no significant rainfall or cloud cover to suppress temperatures until evening. While model runs and climatological analogs support this outcome with high confidence, an atypical late-day thunderstorm or stronger-than-expected northerly flow could have lowered the recorded maximum below 33°C; no such event materialized. Upcoming monthly climate summaries from Panama’s meteorological service will provide final verification data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月3日的最高溫度?
33°C或以上 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$16,020 交易量
$16,020 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
是
33°C或以上 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$16,020 交易量
$16,020 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a daily high of 33°C or higher in Panama City reflects verified observations from the Albrook Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport and regional stations confirming the peak exceeded this threshold on September 3.** In Panama’s tropical wet-season climate, persistent high solar insolation, low wind speeds, and typical September humidity levels around 75–90% routinely drive afternoon maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C, consistent with long-term baselines near 30°C but elevated by clear-sky conditions and minimal convective cooling that day. Official monitoring shows no significant rainfall or cloud cover to suppress temperatures until evening. While model runs and climatological analogs support this outcome with high confidence, an atypical late-day thunderstorm or stronger-than-expected northerly flow could have lowered the recorded maximum below 33°C; no such event materialized. Upcoming monthly climate summaries from Panama’s meteorological service will provide final verification data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions