Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs point to a minimum temperature in Miami on September 6 clustered in the upper 70s, driven by high dew points near 76–78°F, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent tropical moisture and light variable winds are suppressing the typical drop toward seasonal norms around 75°F, with model consensus favoring 78–79°F as the most probable outcome while allowing for slight revisions if clearer skies develop overnight. Traders are weighting recent observational trends from Miami International Airport, where similar humid patterns have produced comparable lows in early September. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the MIA station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 34%
72-73°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
華氏71度或以下
3%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 34%
72-73°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
華氏71度或以下
3%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs point to a minimum temperature in Miami on September 6 clustered in the upper 70s, driven by high dew points near 76–78°F, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent tropical moisture and light variable winds are suppressing the typical drop toward seasonal norms around 75°F, with model consensus favoring 78–79°F as the most probable outcome while allowing for slight revisions if clearer skies develop overnight. Traders are weighting recent observational trends from Miami International Airport, where similar humid patterns have produced comparable lows in early September. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the MIA station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions