Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature on September 5 likely between 30–32 °C in Taipei, with showers and variable cloud cover as the main limiter on peak heating. High humidity near 85–95 % and dew points around 25 °C support scattered convection that can suppress insolation during afternoon hours, while light northwest winds offer modest mixing. Model runs show minor divergence on timing and intensity of rain bands, creating the tight market spread between 31 °C and 33 °C. Historical September averages near 30 °C provide context, but the current pattern of lingering moisture from early-month systems keeps probabilities clustered around the upper 20s to low 30s rather than higher values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日臺北氣溫最高?
32°C 30%
31°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 16%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
27%
32°C
30%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C或以上
2%
32°C 30%
31°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 16%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
27%
32°C
30%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C或以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature on September 5 likely between 30–32 °C in Taipei, with showers and variable cloud cover as the main limiter on peak heating. High humidity near 85–95 % and dew points around 25 °C support scattered convection that can suppress insolation during afternoon hours, while light northwest winds offer modest mixing. Model runs show minor divergence on timing and intensity of rain bands, creating the tight market spread between 31 °C and 33 °C. Historical September averages near 30 °C provide context, but the current pattern of lingering moisture from early-month systems keeps probabilities clustered around the upper 20s to low 30s rather than higher values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions