Recent official forecasts for Moscow on September 6 indicate a daytime maximum of 15–17°C under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and periods of light rain that limit solar heating and keep surface temperatures suppressed relative to the long-term average high near 18°C. Ensemble and regional model runs show tight clustering around this range, with minor differences arising from exact timing of any brief clearing or precipitation intensity. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 14°C or 17°C account for residual model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger or weaker afternoon mixing. Final surface observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日莫斯科最高溫度?
15°C 36%
16°C 35%
14°C 16%
17°C 8%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
16%
15°C
36%
16°C
35%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 36%
16°C 35%
14°C 16%
17°C 8%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
16%
15°C
36%
16°C
35%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts for Moscow on September 6 indicate a daytime maximum of 15–17°C under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and periods of light rain that limit solar heating and keep surface temperatures suppressed relative to the long-term average high near 18°C. Ensemble and regional model runs show tight clustering around this range, with minor differences arising from exact timing of any brief clearing or precipitation intensity. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty band, while lower probabilities for 14°C or 17°C account for residual model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger or weaker afternoon mixing. Final surface observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions