Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a high near 89°F for Miami on September 4, 2026, with a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon. Abundant atmospheric moisture (precipitable water values 2.2–2.5 inches) combined with sea-breeze convergence and an upper-level low near the Bahamas favor widespread convection that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 89–90°F provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and rainfall typically suppress peaks by 2–4°F. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 88–89°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with 90–91°F at 29.5% reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日邁阿密的最高溫度？
9月4日邁阿密的最高溫度？
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
2%
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏79度或以下
$36 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$100 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$496 交易量
17%
88-89°F
$316 交易量
42%
90-91°F
$1,112 交易量
30%
92-93°F
$152 交易量
6%
94-95°F
$18 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$3 交易量
2%
98°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a high near 89°F for Miami on September 4, 2026, with a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon. Abundant atmospheric moisture (precipitable water values 2.2–2.5 inches) combined with sea-breeze convergence and an upper-level low near the Bahamas favor widespread convection that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 89–90°F provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and rainfall typically suppress peaks by 2–4°F. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 88–89°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with 90–91°F at 29.5% reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,233結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a high near 89°F for Miami on September 4, 2026, with a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon. Abundant atmospheric moisture (precipitable water values 2.2–2.5 inches) combined with sea-breeze convergence and an upper-level low near the Bahamas favor widespread convection that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 89–90°F provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and rainfall typically suppress peaks by 2–4°F. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 88–89°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with 90–91°F at 29.5% reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,233結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a high near 89°F for Miami on September 4, 2026, with a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon. Abundant atmospheric moisture (precipitable water values 2.2–2.5 inches) combined with sea-breeze convergence and an upper-level low near the Bahamas favor widespread convection that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 89–90°F provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and rainfall typically suppress peaks by 2–4°F. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 88–89°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with 90–91°F at 29.5% reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions