Official Met Office observations for September 2, 2026, recorded a highest maximum of 21.6°C in the London and South East region, with London-area stations such as Heathrow aligning closely to a 21°C peak amid predominantly cloudy skies and light winds. This matches the long-term early-September average high of 21.6°C at Heathrow and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flows. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 21°C rests on these verified surface measurements rather than models. A realistic challenge would require post-verification adjustments to station data or a higher reading at an official London site exceeding the 21–22°C threshold, though such revisions are uncommon once initial quality-controlled extremes are published.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月2日倫敦的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$114,458 交易量
$114,458 交易量
2026-09-02
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$114,458 交易量
$114,458 交易量
2026-09-02
17°C or below
$7,102 交易量
No
18°C
$11,066 交易量
No
19°C
$7,329 交易量
No
20°C
$19,792 交易量
No
21°C
$18,506 交易量
Yes
22°C
$19,007 交易量
No
23°C
$18,012 交易量
No
24°C
$10,926 交易量
No
25°C
$2,095 交易量
No
26°C
$379 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$245 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for September 2, 2026, recorded a highest maximum of 21.6°C in the London and South East region, with London-area stations such as Heathrow aligning closely to a 21°C peak amid predominantly cloudy skies and light winds. This matches the long-term early-September average high of 21.6°C at Heathrow and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flows. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 21°C rests on these verified surface measurements rather than models. A realistic challenge would require post-verification adjustments to station data or a higher reading at an official London site exceeding the 21–22°C threshold, though such revisions are uncommon once initial quality-controlled extremes are published.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$114,458結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for September 2, 2026, recorded a highest maximum of 21.6°C in the London and South East region, with London-area stations such as Heathrow aligning closely to a 21°C peak amid predominantly cloudy skies and light winds. This matches the long-term early-September average high of 21.6°C at Heathrow and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flows. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 21°C rests on these verified surface measurements rather than models. A realistic challenge would require post-verification adjustments to station data or a higher reading at an official London site exceeding the 21–22°C threshold, though such revisions are uncommon once initial quality-controlled extremes are published.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$114,458結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations for September 2, 2026, recorded a highest maximum of 21.6°C in the London and South East region, with London-area stations such as Heathrow aligning closely to a 21°C peak amid predominantly cloudy skies and light winds. This matches the long-term early-September average high of 21.6°C at Heathrow and reflects stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flows. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 21°C rests on these verified surface measurements rather than models. A realistic challenge would require post-verification adjustments to station data or a higher reading at an official London site exceeding the 21–22°C threshold, though such revisions are uncommon once initial quality-controlled extremes are published.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions