Current forecasts for Chengdu on September 3 show highs clustering around 32–34 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan basin’s subtropical monsoon regime, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting excessive heating. Ensemble model runs exhibit minor spread from variable afternoon cloud cover and exact steering patterns, while early-September climatology places typical maxima near 30–33 °C. Trader consensus around the 33–34 °C outcomes therefore mirrors this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hour updates from official monitoring stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日成都最高溫度?
34°C 23%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
37°C or higher 18%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
21%
34°C
23%
35°C
16%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
18%
34°C 23%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
37°C or higher 18%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
21%
34°C
23%
35°C
16%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Chengdu on September 3 show highs clustering around 32–34 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan basin’s subtropical monsoon regime, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting excessive heating. Ensemble model runs exhibit minor spread from variable afternoon cloud cover and exact steering patterns, while early-September climatology places typical maxima near 30–33 °C. Trader consensus around the 33–34 °C outcomes therefore mirrors this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hour updates from official monitoring stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions