Current numerical weather models from multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and local Sichuan forecasts, converge on an overnight low of 20–23 °C for Chengdu on September 2, driven by light northeasterly winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin under stable high pressure. This places the 22 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, explaining its leading 55.5 % implied probability, while the cluster of nearby bins at 42 % reflects residual spread across ensemble members and minor variations in urban heat-island or dew-point effects. No incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected before later in the week, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting tail risks below 19 °C or above 26 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日成都最低溫度？
9月2日成都最低溫度？
19°C 83%
20°C 83%
21°C 83%
23°C 83%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
44%
18°C
14%
19°C
83%
20°C
83%
21°C
83%
22°C
55%
23°C
83%
24°C
83%
25°C
83%
26°C
83%
27°C or higher
6%
19°C 83%
20°C 83%
21°C 83%
23°C 83%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
$5 交易量
44%
18°C
$51 交易量
14%
19°C
$0 交易量
83%
20°C
$0 交易量
83%
21°C
$0 交易量
83%
22°C
$0 交易量
55%
23°C
$0 交易量
83%
24°C
$0 交易量
83%
25°C
$20 交易量
83%
26°C
$5 交易量
83%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and local Sichuan forecasts, converge on an overnight low of 20–23 °C for Chengdu on September 2, driven by light northeasterly winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin under stable high pressure. This places the 22 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, explaining its leading 55.5 % implied probability, while the cluster of nearby bins at 42 % reflects residual spread across ensemble members and minor variations in urban heat-island or dew-point effects. No incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected before later in the week, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting tail risks below 19 °C or above 26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$86結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and local Sichuan forecasts, converge on an overnight low of 20–23 °C for Chengdu on September 2, driven by light northeasterly winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin under stable high pressure. This places the 22 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, explaining its leading 55.5 % implied probability, while the cluster of nearby bins at 42 % reflects residual spread across ensemble members and minor variations in urban heat-island or dew-point effects. No incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected before later in the week, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting tail risks below 19 °C or above 26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$86結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models from multiple sources, including Yr.no, PredictWind, and local Sichuan forecasts, converge on an overnight low of 20–23 °C for Chengdu on September 2, driven by light northeasterly winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin under stable high pressure. This places the 22 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, explaining its leading 55.5 % implied probability, while the cluster of nearby bins at 42 % reflects residual spread across ensemble members and minor variations in urban heat-island or dew-point effects. No incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected before later in the week, keeping the distribution tightly centered and limiting tail risks below 19 °C or above 26 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions