**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F in Houston on September 3, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official observations from stations such as Houston Hobby Airport aligned with the long-term September 3 average low of 75°F (1991–2020 climatology), reflecting typical late-summer Gulf moisture, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. National Weather Service summaries and model guidance showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive readings into the low 70s. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 71°F or below accounts for possible microclimate variations or station-specific measurement differences, while warmer bins remain near zero given the absence of heat-retaining factors. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service Houston/Galveston office provided the key near-term catalyst confirming this range before final data release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日休斯敦的最低溫度？
9月3日休斯敦的最低溫度？
74-75°F 99%
華氏71度或以下 21%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$2,160 交易量
$2,160 交易量
2026-09-03
華氏71度或以下
21%
72-73°F
-
74-75°F
99%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
74-75°F 99%
華氏71度或以下 21%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$2,160 交易量
$2,160 交易量
2026-09-03
華氏71度或以下
$88 交易量
21%
72-73°F
$270 交易量
-
74-75°F
$245 交易量
99%
76-77°F
$178 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$462 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$230 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$184 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$241 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$96 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$58 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$108 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F in Houston on September 3, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official observations from stations such as Houston Hobby Airport aligned with the long-term September 3 average low of 75°F (1991–2020 climatology), reflecting typical late-summer Gulf moisture, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. National Weather Service summaries and model guidance showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive readings into the low 70s. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 71°F or below accounts for possible microclimate variations or station-specific measurement differences, while warmer bins remain near zero given the absence of heat-retaining factors. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service Houston/Galveston office provided the key near-term catalyst confirming this range before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,160結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F in Houston on September 3, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official observations from stations such as Houston Hobby Airport aligned with the long-term September 3 average low of 75°F (1991–2020 climatology), reflecting typical late-summer Gulf moisture, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. National Weather Service summaries and model guidance showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive readings into the low 70s. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 71°F or below accounts for possible microclimate variations or station-specific measurement differences, while warmer bins remain near zero given the absence of heat-retaining factors. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service Houston/Galveston office provided the key near-term catalyst confirming this range before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,160結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74-75°F in Houston on September 3, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official observations from stations such as Houston Hobby Airport aligned with the long-term September 3 average low of 75°F (1991–2020 climatology), reflecting typical late-summer Gulf moisture, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. National Weather Service summaries and model guidance showed no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would drive readings into the low 70s. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 71°F or below accounts for possible microclimate variations or station-specific measurement differences, while warmer bins remain near zero given the absence of heat-retaining factors. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service Houston/Galveston office provided the key near-term catalyst confirming this range before final data release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions