Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日紐約市的最高溫度？
9月3日紐約市的最高溫度？
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
12%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
75°F or below
$0 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$8 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
13%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
19%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
19%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
19%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
11%
90-91°F
$20 交易量
10%
92-93°F
$11 交易量
3%
94°F or higher
$10 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions