**Trader consensus clusters around 30–31°C as the most likely maximum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting official forecasts of unsettled conditions that limit daytime heating.** A broad low-pressure trough and possible disturbance tracking south of the territory are expected to produce mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, especially early in the day, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. North to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore or on high ground, will advect slightly drier continental air, further moderating temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory’s nine-day outlook caps the range at 27–31°C, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 30°C but tempered by above-normal cloud and rainfall. Model agreement on this pattern supports the tight spread between the top two outcomes, with upside to 32°C requiring clearer skies or a slower system passage that current guidance does not favor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日香港最高溫度？
9月1日香港最高溫度？
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
26°C
$120 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29°C
$68 交易量
17%
30°C
$76 交易量
28%
31°C
$32 交易量
36%
32°C
$79 交易量
13%
33°C
$144 交易量
5%
34°C
$60 交易量
5%
35°C or higher
$36 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus clusters around 30–31°C as the most likely maximum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting official forecasts of unsettled conditions that limit daytime heating.**
A broad low-pressure trough and possible disturbance tracking south of the territory are expected to produce mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, especially early in the day, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. North to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore or on high ground, will advect slightly drier continental air, further moderating temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory’s nine-day outlook caps the range at 27–31°C, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 30°C but tempered by above-normal cloud and rainfall. Model agreement on this pattern supports the tight spread between the top two outcomes, with upside to 32°C requiring clearer skies or a slower system passage that current guidance does not favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$735結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus clusters around 30–31°C as the most likely maximum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting official forecasts of unsettled conditions that limit daytime heating.**
A broad low-pressure trough and possible disturbance tracking south of the territory are expected to produce mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, especially early in the day, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. North to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore or on high ground, will advect slightly drier continental air, further moderating temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory’s nine-day outlook caps the range at 27–31°C, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 30°C but tempered by above-normal cloud and rainfall. Model agreement on this pattern supports the tight spread between the top two outcomes, with upside to 32°C requiring clearer skies or a slower system passage that current guidance does not favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$735結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus clusters around 30–31°C as the most likely maximum for Hong Kong on September 1, reflecting official forecasts of unsettled conditions that limit daytime heating.** A broad low-pressure trough and possible disturbance tracking south of the territory are expected to produce mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, especially early in the day, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. North to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore or on high ground, will advect slightly drier continental air, further moderating temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory’s nine-day outlook caps the range at 27–31°C, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 30°C but tempered by above-normal cloud and rainfall. Model agreement on this pattern supports the tight spread between the top two outcomes, with upside to 32°C requiring clearer skies or a slower system passage that current guidance does not favor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions