Recent forecasts from multiple models (including NHC/NOAA analogs and Brazilian meteorological services) indicate a cold front arriving overnight into September 1, shifting winds northwest then south while drawing cooler polar air over the São Paulo plateau. This follows an anomalous late-August heat wave with daytime highs near 32–34 °C and will bring widespread rain, rising humidity above 90 %, and a sharp nocturnal temperature drop. Ensemble guidance and high-resolution runs cluster the minimum between 13–15 °C, aligning with the historical September average low of ~12–15 °C at the Mirante de Santana station. Trader positioning therefore favors 15–16 °C outcomes, reflecting both the expected cold-air advection and the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour forecasts this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日聖保羅最低溫度？
9月1日聖保羅最低溫度？
16°C 43%
14°C或以下 42%
15°C 27%
19°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
14°C或以下
42%
15°C
27%
16°C
43%
17°C
26%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
14%
21°C
6%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C或以上
3%
16°C 43%
14°C或以下 42%
15°C 27%
19°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
42%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
43%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$5 交易量
14%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$5 交易量
7%
23°C
$130 交易量
2%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models (including NHC/NOAA analogs and Brazilian meteorological services) indicate a cold front arriving overnight into September 1, shifting winds northwest then south while drawing cooler polar air over the São Paulo plateau. This follows an anomalous late-August heat wave with daytime highs near 32–34 °C and will bring widespread rain, rising humidity above 90 %, and a sharp nocturnal temperature drop. Ensemble guidance and high-resolution runs cluster the minimum between 13–15 °C, aligning with the historical September average low of ~12–15 °C at the Mirante de Santana station. Trader positioning therefore favors 15–16 °C outcomes, reflecting both the expected cold-air advection and the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour forecasts this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ET
交易量
$140結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models (including NHC/NOAA analogs and Brazilian meteorological services) indicate a cold front arriving overnight into September 1, shifting winds northwest then south while drawing cooler polar air over the São Paulo plateau. This follows an anomalous late-August heat wave with daytime highs near 32–34 °C and will bring widespread rain, rising humidity above 90 %, and a sharp nocturnal temperature drop. Ensemble guidance and high-resolution runs cluster the minimum between 13–15 °C, aligning with the historical September average low of ~12–15 °C at the Mirante de Santana station. Trader positioning therefore favors 15–16 °C outcomes, reflecting both the expected cold-air advection and the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour forecasts this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$140結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models (including NHC/NOAA analogs and Brazilian meteorological services) indicate a cold front arriving overnight into September 1, shifting winds northwest then south while drawing cooler polar air over the São Paulo plateau. This follows an anomalous late-August heat wave with daytime highs near 32–34 °C and will bring widespread rain, rising humidity above 90 %, and a sharp nocturnal temperature drop. Ensemble guidance and high-resolution runs cluster the minimum between 13–15 °C, aligning with the historical September average low of ~12–15 °C at the Mirante de Santana station. Trader positioning therefore favors 15–16 °C outcomes, reflecting both the expected cold-air advection and the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour forecasts this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions