Recent official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate a peak daytime temperature in São Paulo of 30–32°C on August 30, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. This setup supports surface heating to near or slightly above seasonal norms before an approaching cold front introduces increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers that could cap the maximum. Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C reflects model agreement on these conditions alongside typical urban heat retention in the metro area, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher account for the risk of earlier convective activity or greater cloud interference limiting insolation. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations later today will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月30日聖保羅的最高溫度？
30°C 27%
31°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
最新
$20,145 交易量
最新
$20,145 交易量
2026-08-30
28°C或以下
11%
29°C
13%
30°C
27%
31°C
25%
32°C
17%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
最新
$20,145 交易量
最新
$20,145 交易量
2026-08-30
28°C或以下
$2,014 交易量
11%
29°C
$1,341 交易量
13%
30°C
$1,542 交易量
27%
31°C
$678 交易量
25%
32°C
$3,197 交易量
17%
33°C
$1,514 交易量
8%
34°C
$1,697 交易量
2%
35°C
$4,138 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,411 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,441 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$1,172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate a peak daytime temperature in São Paulo of 30–32°C on August 30, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. This setup supports surface heating to near or slightly above seasonal norms before an approaching cold front introduces increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers that could cap the maximum. Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C reflects model agreement on these conditions alongside typical urban heat retention in the metro area, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher account for the risk of earlier convective activity or greater cloud interference limiting insolation. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations later today will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
交易量
$20,145結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate a peak daytime temperature in São Paulo of 30–32°C on August 30, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. This setup supports surface heating to near or slightly above seasonal norms before an approaching cold front introduces increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers that could cap the maximum. Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C reflects model agreement on these conditions alongside typical urban heat retention in the metro area, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher account for the risk of earlier convective activity or greater cloud interference limiting insolation. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations later today will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,145結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETRecent official forecasts from Brazilian meteorological sources and international models indicate a peak daytime temperature in São Paulo of 30–32°C on August 30, driven by a lingering warm, dry air mass under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. This setup supports surface heating to near or slightly above seasonal norms before an approaching cold front introduces increased cloud cover and potential afternoon showers that could cap the maximum. Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C reflects model agreement on these conditions alongside typical urban heat retention in the metro area, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher account for the risk of earlier convective activity or greater cloud interference limiting insolation. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations later today will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions