**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日聖保羅最低溫度？
8月30日聖保羅最低溫度？
19°C 100.0%
18°C 20%
17°C或以下 4%
20°C <1%
$1,880 交易量
$1,880 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
18°C 20%
17°C或以下 4%
20°C <1%
$1,880 交易量
$1,880 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C或以下
$33 交易量
否
18°C
$33 交易量
否
19°C
$55 交易量
是
20°C
$296 交易量
否
21°C
$271 交易量
否
22°C
$87 交易量
否
23°C
$360 交易量
否
24°C
$291 交易量
否
25°C
$62 交易量
否
26°C
$72 交易量
否
27°C或更高
$320 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,880結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,880結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 30 centers on 18–19°C** because official forecasts and station observations pointed to overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies within a lingering warm air mass. With daytime highs reaching 30–33°C from a heatwave-like pattern, nocturnal temperatures dropped to roughly that range at key sites such as Congonhas Airport, moderated by the urban heat island effect, elevation near 800 m, and absence of a strong cold front. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical mins 12–13°C) supported limited further cooling, creating tight implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes while rendering 17°C or below unlikely without a sharper synoptic shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions