Official National Weather Service observations for downtown Los Angeles on September 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September marine layer influence moderating coastal temperatures below the 1991–2020 normal of ~85°F, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon heating. LAX airport data showed a similar but slightly lower peak, confirming regional consistency. The 100% implied probability stems from verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless official station records are later amended for instrumentation issues or definitional changes in the "Los Angeles" reporting location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月1日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯9月1日的最高溫度？
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$44,017 交易量
$44,017 交易量
2026-09-01
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84°F或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$44,017 交易量
$44,017 交易量
2026-09-01
65°F或以下
$145 交易量
否
66-67°F
$261 交易量
否
68-69°F
$899 交易量
否
70-71°F
$977 交易量
否
72-73°F
$5,491 交易量
否
74-75°F
$14,957 交易量
是
76-77°F
$7,861 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,071 交易量
否
80-81°F
$4,122 交易量
否
82-83°F
$4,621 交易量
否
84°F或更高
$612 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for downtown Los Angeles on September 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September marine layer influence moderating coastal temperatures below the 1991–2020 normal of ~85°F, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon heating. LAX airport data showed a similar but slightly lower peak, confirming regional consistency. The 100% implied probability stems from verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless official station records are later amended for instrumentation issues or definitional changes in the "Los Angeles" reporting location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$44,017結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for downtown Los Angeles on September 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September marine layer influence moderating coastal temperatures below the 1991–2020 normal of ~85°F, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon heating. LAX airport data showed a similar but slightly lower peak, confirming regional consistency. The 100% implied probability stems from verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless official station records are later amended for instrumentation issues or definitional changes in the "Los Angeles" reporting location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,017結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations for downtown Los Angeles on September 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September marine layer influence moderating coastal temperatures below the 1991–2020 normal of ~85°F, with clear skies and light winds limiting afternoon heating. LAX airport data showed a similar but slightly lower peak, confirming regional consistency. The 100% implied probability stems from verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless official station records are later amended for instrumentation issues or definitional changes in the "Los Angeles" reporting location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions