Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 76°F at both downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied 76-77°F outcome at near-certainty. This result fell 8°F below the 1991-2020 normal high for the date amid cooler-than-average marine layer influence and onshore flow, consistent with recent model guidance showing limited warming potential. Verified station data from authoritative monitoring networks leaves minimal room for revision, though traders recognize that minor adjustments in final quality-controlled records or station-specific criteria could theoretically alter edge cases in lower-probability bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月6日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯9月6日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$78,469 交易量
$78,469 交易量
2026-09-06
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
華氏86度或更高
否
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$78,469 交易量
$78,469 交易量
2026-09-06
67°F或以下
$1,323 交易量
否
68-69°F
$533 交易量
否
70-71°F
$569 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,222 交易量
否
74-75°F
$21,140 交易量
否
76-77°F
$12,795 交易量
是
78-79°F
$15,002 交易量
否
80-81°F
$9,194 交易量
否
82-83°F
$8,530 交易量
否
84-85°F
$5,442 交易量
否
華氏86度或更高
$2,719 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 76°F at both downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied 76-77°F outcome at near-certainty. This result fell 8°F below the 1991-2020 normal high for the date amid cooler-than-average marine layer influence and onshore flow, consistent with recent model guidance showing limited warming potential. Verified station data from authoritative monitoring networks leaves minimal room for revision, though traders recognize that minor adjustments in final quality-controlled records or station-specific criteria could theoretically alter edge cases in lower-probability bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$78,469結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 76°F at both downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied 76-77°F outcome at near-certainty. This result fell 8°F below the 1991-2020 normal high for the date amid cooler-than-average marine layer influence and onshore flow, consistent with recent model guidance showing limited warming potential. Verified station data from authoritative monitoring networks leaves minimal room for revision, though traders recognize that minor adjustments in final quality-controlled records or station-specific criteria could theoretically alter edge cases in lower-probability bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$78,469結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 76°F at both downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied 76-77°F outcome at near-certainty. This result fell 8°F below the 1991-2020 normal high for the date amid cooler-than-average marine layer influence and onshore flow, consistent with recent model guidance showing limited warming potential. Verified station data from authoritative monitoring networks leaves minimal room for revision, though traders recognize that minor adjustments in final quality-controlled records or station-specific criteria could theoretically alter edge cases in lower-probability bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions