Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Toronto on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and easterly to northeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating compared to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.8°C. This pattern, with dew points in the mid-teens and modest cloud cover, supports the market-implied odds favoring 22–23°C outcomes at over 74% combined probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent a shift in steering winds, while historical extremes above 30°C remain rare under similar early-September setups. Traders will monitor any final Environment Canada or NOAA updates before resolution based on official daily maximum observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月6日多倫多氣溫最高？
23°C 47%
22°C 29%
24°C 16%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
29%
23°C
47%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
2%
23°C 47%
22°C 29%
24°C 16%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
19°C或以下
$20 交易量
1%
20°C
$99 交易量
2%
21°C
$702 交易量
7%
22°C
$319 交易量
29%
23°C
$460 交易量
47%
24°C
$486 交易量
16%
25°C
$124 交易量
4%
26°C
$37 交易量
2%
27°C
$141 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,200 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Toronto on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and easterly to northeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating compared to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.8°C. This pattern, with dew points in the mid-teens and modest cloud cover, supports the market-implied odds favoring 22–23°C outcomes at over 74% combined probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent a shift in steering winds, while historical extremes above 30°C remain rare under similar early-September setups. Traders will monitor any final Environment Canada or NOAA updates before resolution based on official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,588結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Toronto on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and easterly to northeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating compared to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.8°C. This pattern, with dew points in the mid-teens and modest cloud cover, supports the market-implied odds favoring 22–23°C outcomes at over 74% combined probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent a shift in steering winds, while historical extremes above 30°C remain rare under similar early-September setups. Traders will monitor any final Environment Canada or NOAA updates before resolution based on official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,588結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a high near 21–22°C for Toronto on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and easterly to northeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating compared to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.8°C. This pattern, with dew points in the mid-teens and modest cloud cover, supports the market-implied odds favoring 22–23°C outcomes at over 74% combined probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent a shift in steering winds, while historical extremes above 30°C remain rare under similar early-September setups. Traders will monitor any final Environment Canada or NOAA updates before resolution based on official daily maximum observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions