**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月6日的最低溫度？
墨西哥城9月6日的最低溫度？
14°C 99%
7°C或以下 20%
8°C 20%
9°C 20%
$674 交易量
$674 交易量
2026-09-06
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
14°C 99%
7°C或以下 20%
8°C 20%
9°C 20%
$674 交易量
$674 交易量
2026-09-06
7°C或以下
$5 交易量
否
8°C
$5 交易量
否
9°C
$5 交易量
否
10°C
$5 交易量
否
11°C
$30 交易量
否
12°C
$30 交易量
否
13°C
$35 交易量
否
14°C
$258 交易量
是
15°C
$140 交易量
否
16°C
$105 交易量
否
17°C或更高
$56 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$674結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$674結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions