**The market-implied 99.1% odds on a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum observation at its headquarters station.** Post-event confirmation of this exact reading has driven near-unanimous trader consensus, consistent with typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light winds and high humidity. Historical September minima at the site often cluster around 25–27°C, and no significant model divergence or measurement anomaly appears in available data. The primary resolution risk remains a rare post-publication correction by HKO or an alternative interpretation of “lowest temperature” (for example, a different station or averaging method), though such adjustments are uncommon once daily extracts are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日香港最低溫度？
9月5日香港最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$37,586 交易量
$37,586 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$37,586 交易量
$37,586 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$158 交易量
否
21°C
$148 交易量
否
22°C
$158 交易量
否
23°C
$1,520 交易量
否
24°C
$3,493 交易量
否
25°C
$4,518 交易量
否
26°C
$9,988 交易量
否
27°C
$15,892 交易量
是
28°C
$1,166 交易量
否
29°C
$158 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$389 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market-implied 99.1% odds on a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum observation at its headquarters station.** Post-event confirmation of this exact reading has driven near-unanimous trader consensus, consistent with typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light winds and high humidity. Historical September minima at the site often cluster around 25–27°C, and no significant model divergence or measurement anomaly appears in available data. The primary resolution risk remains a rare post-publication correction by HKO or an alternative interpretation of “lowest temperature” (for example, a different station or averaging method), though such adjustments are uncommon once daily extracts are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$37,586結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The market-implied 99.1% odds on a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum observation at its headquarters station.** Post-event confirmation of this exact reading has driven near-unanimous trader consensus, consistent with typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light winds and high humidity. Historical September minima at the site often cluster around 25–27°C, and no significant model divergence or measurement anomaly appears in available data. The primary resolution risk remains a rare post-publication correction by HKO or an alternative interpretation of “lowest temperature” (for example, a different station or averaging method), though such adjustments are uncommon once daily extracts are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,586結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**The market-implied 99.1% odds on a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum observation at its headquarters station.** Post-event confirmation of this exact reading has driven near-unanimous trader consensus, consistent with typical late-summer nocturnal temperatures under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light winds and high humidity. Historical September minima at the site often cluster around 25–27°C, and no significant model divergence or measurement anomaly appears in available data. The primary resolution risk remains a rare post-publication correction by HKO or an alternative interpretation of “lowest temperature” (for example, a different station or averaging method), though such adjustments are uncommon once daily extracts are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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