**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory data showing a minimum of 27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels that prevented significant overnight cooling. Historical climatological normals for mid-September place average daily minima near 25–26°C, making the observed value consistent with recent warm, stable atmospheric conditions driven by a high-pressure ridge. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in the verified HKO measurement, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. Only an unlikely post-publication data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日香港最低溫度？
9月18日香港最低溫度？
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$20,703 交易量
$20,703 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$20,703 交易量
$20,703 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$81 交易量
<1%
22°C
$38 交易量
<1%
23°C
$33 交易量
<1%
24°C
$268 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,216 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8,240 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,737 交易量
100%
28°C
$2,662 交易量
<1%
29°C
$53 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,187 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$1,187 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory data showing a minimum of 27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels that prevented significant overnight cooling. Historical climatological normals for mid-September place average daily minima near 25–26°C, making the observed value consistent with recent warm, stable atmospheric conditions driven by a high-pressure ridge.
Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in the verified HKO measurement, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. Only an unlikely post-publication data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20,703結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory data showing a minimum of 27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels that prevented significant overnight cooling. Historical climatological normals for mid-September place average daily minima near 25–26°C, making the observed value consistent with recent warm, stable atmospheric conditions driven by a high-pressure ridge.
Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in the verified HKO measurement, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. Only an unlikely post-publication data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,703結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** This positioning stems from official Hong Kong Observatory data showing a minimum of 27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels that prevented significant overnight cooling. Historical climatological normals for mid-September place average daily minima near 25–26°C, making the observed value consistent with recent warm, stable atmospheric conditions driven by a high-pressure ridge. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in the verified HKO measurement, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. Only an unlikely post-publication data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions